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Internal research projects - year 2014

Project No.: 1287

Project title:

Evaluation of predictions to improve their informational validity (Froněk)

Head of project:

RNDr. Pavel Froněk, CSc.

Staff:

Mgr. Jiří Pokorný, Ing. Miluše Abrahamová, Ing. Hana Baudisová, Ing. Iveta Bošková, Ing. Josefína Menzlová, Ing. Petr Novotný, Ing. Ivanka Součková, Ing. Jana Teichmanová

Objective:

Economic explanation of econometric results.

  • Partial goal: Analysis of relations between a prediction and the corresponding reality. Econometric verification of the relations.

Methodology, assumptions, sources:

  • Factual analysis and testing of hypotheses.
  • Factual analysis with the help of experts on commodities whose prices are being predicted.
  • Statistical and econometric analysis.

Outputs and their use:

  • Presentation on a seminar.
  • Utilization of the improved and better explained predictions for outputs of IAEI.
  • Possibly publication in a journal.
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