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Internal research projects - year 2014

Project No.: 1287

Project title:

Evaluation of predictions to improve their informational validity (Froněk)

Head of project:

RNDr. Pavel Froněk, CSc.


Mgr. Jiří Pokorný, Ing. Miluše Abrahamová, Ing. Hana Baudisová, Ing. Iveta Bošková, Ing. Josefína Menzlová, Ing. Petr Novotný, Ing. Ivanka Součková, Ing. Jana Teichmanová


Economic explanation of econometric results.

  • Partial goal: Analysis of relations between a prediction and the corresponding reality. Econometric verification of the relations.

Methodology, assumptions, sources:

  • Factual analysis and testing of hypotheses.
  • Factual analysis with the help of experts on commodities whose prices are being predicted.
  • Statistical and econometric analysis.

Outputs and their use:

  • Presentation on a seminar.
  • Utilization of the improved and better explained predictions for outputs of IAEI.
  • Possibly publication in a journal.
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